Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 95.131599 109.043577 125.441515 146.518157 173.382310 207.200178 2.542371e+02
2024-10-13 73.226211 89.042142 109.533764 139.015128 182.202228 246.675790 3.586121e+02
2024-10-20 64.567967 81.711331 105.434819 142.538119 203.282523 308.655712 5.374884e+02
2024-10-27 57.069737 74.145050 98.843923 139.806812 212.658390 355.316546 7.358821e+02
2024-11-03 54.310574 72.609842 100.411951 149.750733 246.810314 469.941441 1.288235e+03
2024-11-10 54.113387 74.675629 107.699286 171.187258 313.069809 722.442415 3.427096e+03
2024-11-17 50.309629 70.565887 104.055648 171.296762 333.013689 872.935434 6.918017e+03
2024-11-24 46.728123 66.369929 99.585999 168.627817 345.104484 1017.015581 1.578183e+04
2024-12-01 43.622799 62.621106 95.375071 165.541387 355.011840 1174.668013 5.380682e+04
2024-12-08 41.362177 60.055970 92.964303 165.843516 375.350054 1437.208169 4.808958e+07
2024-12-15 39.375983 57.766035 90.763630 166.142018 396.357272 1777.514223 NaN
2024-12-22 36.764567 54.181460 85.698754 158.706777 388.002147 1883.995385 NaN
2024-12-29 35.449620 53.026577 85.731894 165.113834 439.839709 2928.808678 NaN
2025-01-05 32.728065 49.180679 80.060063 156.126363 427.914265 3213.694422 NaN
2025-01-12 31.506749 47.924968 79.460353 160.323671 476.391367 5329.508446 NaN
2025-01-19 29.796545 45.620007 76.394686 157.068945 489.056724 7255.751515 NaN
2025-01-26 29.411135 45.732380 78.438834 168.945519 594.471270 25624.233165 NaN
2025-02-02 29.859409 47.459678 84.281935 194.795948 843.367506 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 28.670903 45.885149 82.395580 194.928846 909.968710 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 27.405813 44.065317 79.729622 191.692123 944.894971 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 26.221655 42.329251 77.088049 187.955416 972.803302 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 25.337462 41.140244 75.642743 188.320899 1051.281534 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 24.519272 40.030793 74.275710 188.682060 1137.209119 NaN NaN